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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

David Bailey

Team: Pensby CDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

823

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

54

Matches Played

29

Wins

25

Losses

54%

Win Rate

10.4

Avg Win Margin

5.6

Avg Loss Margin

16-12

Home Record

13-13

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
54 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/10/2026

A large recent sample: 54 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins29/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 54 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

7 May17 Jun9 Jul12 Aug26 May17 Jun15 Jul10 Aug-13714

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(35%)
54%
score+0.07→contribution+0.03
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
10.4
score+0.40→contribution+0.09
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
5.6
score+0.41→contribution+0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(15%)
876
score-0.06→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score+0.162
Sample Size Confidence
100%(54/33 matches)
Rating1065 → shrunk 1065→ adjusted 828
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)815
Recency Blend40% (54 recent matches)
Final Rating823
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

29W25L54 matches·53.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby C2024–2026Division C31171454.8%
Pensby D2025Division C137653.8%
Pensby B2025–2026Division B95455.6%
Pensby2026Division A1010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/10/2026Ron WhyteH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
8/4/2026John SmithH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision A
7/29/2026June DawsonH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision C
7/28/2026Hayley JonesH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
7/23/2026John BuckleyA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
7/22/2026Leslie RoachH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision C
7/16/2026Tommy BrownH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/15/2026Tracy HughesH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
7/14/2026Colin Portis **H13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
7/9/2026Bill DowA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
7/7/2026Brett WilliamsonH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
6/25/2026Steve BowdenH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
6/24/2026Max MotleyH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
6/23/2026Paul ChapmanA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
6/17/2026Susan CowanH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
6/16/2026Mark PeersA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
6/11/2026Gary BrabanderA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
6/10/2026David MansfieldA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/3/2026Susan WardA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
5/28/2026Peter Mcgrath *A18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
5/27/2026Karl RobinsonA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
5/26/2026Alex NormanH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
5/14/2026Andy SewellA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision B
5/13/2026Tony LakeH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
5/12/2026Katie WoodH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision B
4/30/2026Michael DabbsH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
8/27/2025vs Oxton Cons BH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
8/13/2025Tony LakeA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
8/12/2025Phillip SummersH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
8/7/2025Mike FinnH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
8/5/2025Tommy BrownA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
7/24/2025Nancy BrabanderA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
7/22/2025Paul StampA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/16/2025vs Albany BH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
7/15/2025Paul HarrisA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
7/9/2025Frank HoeyA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
7/3/2025Alan WelchA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
7/2/2025vs Pensby CH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
6/26/2025vs Oxton Cons BA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
6/24/2025Mike CooperA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
6/18/2025vs Sea DogH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
6/17/2025Gary MaddockA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
6/11/2025vs Bromborough Pool BH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision C
6/10/2025June BuckleyA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
6/4/2025vs Bromborough Pool BH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
5/29/2025vs Little SuttonH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
5/21/2025vs Sea DogH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
5/15/2025June BuckleyA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision C
5/7/2025vs Pensby CA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
8/8/2024Michael DabbsA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
5/23/2024Jane HickmanH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
5/16/2024Shaun LuckieA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
5/15/2024vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
5/7/2024Mark PeersA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
Geoff Clare Trophy4 games · 3W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundRoy CookePensby D21-16WINLOST
20252 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundPaul HarrisSea Dog21-17WINLOST
Semi Final RoundTeresa DobsonBromborough Pool B21-17WINLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJane HickmanBebington Park18-21LOSSLOST
George ONeill Trophy3 games · 1W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundAnita Meldrum / Mal HughesArno Tixall10-15LOSSLOST
Round of 16 RoundPeter Jones / Alan MathewsOxton Cons13-15LOSSLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundPhillip Mcgunigall / Colin LitsterOxton Cons15-9WINWON
Leverhulme Cup2 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundTerry MilnerLever Club B21-11WINWON
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundSteve PrestonPensby B5-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLWLL
Last 1030% win rate— steady
LLWLLWLWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Tommy Brown11250%7/16/2026
Mark Peers0220%6/16/2026
Tony Lake202100%5/13/2026
Michael Dabbs0220%4/30/2026
Oxton Cons B11250%8/27/2025
Pensby C0220%7/2/2025
Sea Dog11250%6/18/2025
Bromborough Pool B202100%6/11/2025
June Buckley202100%6/10/2025
Ron Whyte0110%8/10/2026
Biggest Win
Katie Wood (+16)5/12/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Frank Hoey (-13)7/9/2025
Best Season
202557% · 23 matches
Worst Season
202654% · 26 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
52% → 56%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
83641 known · 13 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-233% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
22-1658% win rate

By Division

Division C24-20 (55%)
Division B5-4 (56%)
Division A0-1 (0%)
Division A0%
0W·1L·1 played
Division B55.6%
5W·4L·9 played
Division C54.5%
24W·20L·44 played

Debut

May 7, 2024

Latest

Aug 10, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

18.0 (54 total)

Seasons

202420252026